smart-networks

PILLAR: SMART NETWORKS

Short-Term Forecasting Platform

68-Short-Term-Forecasting-Platform-e1687188051690

What we will do and why

Develop and evolve short-term forecasting tools/models to predict load, generation, network constraint and load related network intervention requirements across different voltage levels and operational timescales.

Key deliverables

  • Intra-day forecast data.
  • Short-term forecasting model.
  • System integration.

Target outcomes

  • Broader, more effective stakeholder engagement.
  • Enable rollout of customer offering informed by short term forecasts.
  • Increased stakeholder access to a broader variety of forecasting datasets.

Measures of success

  • Ability to procure flexibility closer to real time.
  • Ability to proactively inform customers on network plans.

Stakeholder Engagement

Engaged with DER customers via email for curtailment forecasting. Day ahead forecast for flexibility markets to be communicated as early 2024 at flexibility forums.

Planned start:

01.04.2023

Target completion:

12.03.2025

Key milestones:

  • Forecasting for Flexibility services dispatch (Dec 2023)
  • Forecasting for secondary substations (Jan 2024)
  • Forecasting curtailment (Mar 2024) - Delayed

Status:

On Track

Date of change Category Description
24.12.2023 Update

The milestone for “Forecasting Curtailment” was changed from September 2023 to March 2024 due to delays. More information about stakeholder engagement was also added.