PILLAR: SMART NETWORKS
Short-Term Forecasting Platform
What we will do and why
Develop and evolve short-term forecasting tools/models to predict load, generation, network constraint and load-related network intervention requirements across different voltage levels and operational timescales.
Key deliverables
- Forecasting curtailment publicly released.
- Forecasting for Flexibility Services dispatch platform available in DSO control room.
- Forecasting Dynamic Outage Management platform available in DSO control room.
- Forecasting for Day Ahead Flex Procurement available for use in DSO control room and dispatch team.
Target outcomes
- Broader, more effective stakeholder engagement.
- Enable rollout of customer offering informed by short-term forecasts.
- Increased stakeholder access to a broader variety of forecasting datasets.
- Maximising network access to DERs.
- Improved DER operations scheduling.
- Improved DER access to markets.
- Efficient scheduling of Flex markets.
Measures of success
- Ability to procure flexibility closer to real time.
- Ability to proactively inform customers on network plans.
Stakeholder Engagement
Engaged with DER customers via email for curtailment forecasting. Day ahead forecast for flexibility markets was communicated in early 2024 at flexibility forums.
Planned start:
01.04.2023
Target completion:
12.03.2025
Key milestones:
- Forecasting for Flexibility services dispatch (Dec 2023)
- Forecasting curtailment (Mar 2024)
- Forecasting for secondary substations (Oct 2024)
Status:
Complete
| Date of change | Category | Description |
|---|---|---|
| 20.12.2024 | Update |
Project is now completed with the last Milestone(Forecasting for secondary substations) finished in October 2024 earlier than planned. |
| 28.06.2024 | Update |
Milestone (Forecasting curtailment) is complete. Milestones (Forecasting for secondary substation)s due date got changed from January 2024 to January 2025 because of continuing improvement on established solution, based on user feedback. |
| 24.12.2023 | Update |
The milestone for “Forecasting Curtailment” was changed from September 2023 to March 2024 due to delays. More information about stakeholder engagement was also added. |
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