Short-Term Forecasting Platform


What we will do and why

Develop and evolve short-term forecasting tools/models to predict load, generation, network constraint and load related network intervention requirements across different voltage levels and operational timescales.

Key deliverables

  • Forecasting curtailment publicly released
  • Forecasting for Flexibility Services dispatch platform available in DSO control room
  • Forecasting Dynamic Outage Management platform available in DSO control room
  • Forecasting for Day Ahead Flex Procurement available for use in DSO control room and dispatch team

Target outcomes

  • Broader, more effective stakeholder engagement
  • Enable rollout of customer offering informed by short term forecasts
  • Increased stakeholder access to a broader variety of forecasting datasets
  • Maximising network access to DERs
  • Improved DER operations scheduling
  • Improved DER access to markets
  • Efficient scheduling of Flex markets

Measures of success

  • Ability to procure flexibility closer to real time.
  • Ability to proactively inform customers on network plans.

Stakeholder Engagement

Engaged with DER customers via email for curtailment forecasting. Day ahead forecast for flexibility markets to be communicated as early 2024 at flexibility forums.

Planned start:


Target completion:


Key milestones:

  • Forecasting for Flexibility services dispatch (Dec 2023)
  • Forecasting curtailment (Mar 2024)
  • Forecasting for secondary substations (Jan 2025)


On Track

Date of change Category Description
28.06.2024 Update

Milestone (Forecasting curtailment) is complete. Milestones (Forecasting for secondary substation)s due date got changed from January 2024 to January 2025 because of continuing improvement on established solution, based on user feedback.
Original outputs has been replaced by new ones. Four new outcomes has been added.

24.12.2023 Update

The milestone for “Forecasting Curtailment” was changed from September 2023 to March 2024 due to delays. More information about stakeholder engagement was also added.